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#MSCI未排除数字资产财库企业纳入范围 About rate cuts, don't rush to get in 🫣
The Fed Chair's recent statements definitely have some flavor. His elevator analogy is quite vivid — inflation is stuck on the upper floors, not moving, although it hasn't returned to low levels, at least it's no longer surging upward.
Looking at the market's real bets, you'll understand:
▸ The probability of a rate cut in January is only 2.8%, basically "don't bother"
▸ A cut might happen only in March? The probability is 26.8%, most of the time we still need to stay cautious
In plain language: slow down, don't rush, let the bullets fly a bit longer!
The current situation is actually quite clear:
1️⃣ Don't expect mortgage and car loan rates to loosen in the short term
2️⃣ The good days of cheap money haven't truly arrived yet
3️⃣ But from another perspective — the economy is gently sliding down the runway, which is much better than a hard landing
Future monthly data will be a box of surprises. For retail investors like us, the most reliable approach? Get comfortable, prepare some popcorn, watch a few episodes before making decisions. Remember — sometimes the greatest wisdom is doing nothing.