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$BTC — 2026 Outlook
The annual chart now shows a scenario different from what was expected at the end of 2025.
Three upward impulse waves are clearly visible. The third wave that started in 2023 ended at the 2025 ATH of 126,199.63. The red yearly candle with a long upper wick increases the probability of a correction.
A test of the 2024 mid-high at 108,353.00 remains possible. This level is just below 109,887.87 (50% of the 2025 upper tail).
Early 2026 already showed attempts to reclaim the 2025 opening level — 93,576.00.
On the monthly chart, there is a gap between 102,000.00 and 94,588.99, and its lower boundary has already been tested. If reclaimed, price may move toward 108,353.00.
If price declines, attention turns to:
2026 open
74,508.00 lower wick of 2025
Gap 74,508.00 – 69,000.00
(50% Fibonacci of 15,476.00 – 126,199.63) #DailyMarketOverview
#BTC