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Yesterday, I achieved another 20% intraday profit. Here's a full review of the process.
This morning, I initially planned to follow the trades completely, but a wave of short positions at 3112 was sold off unexpectedly, which deviated from my expected logic. So I decided to take control of the rhythm myself in the afternoon. Looking at the bullish trend from 3112, if it were me, I would set my target directly at 3130-3140, but then that high point would hit my take profit. Afterwards, I would place a long order again at 3083 to enter the market, aiming to catch 3110. The short position opened at 3120 actually aligned with my trading logic, but my conservative take profit point was set at 3090, and as a result, the order was sold off prematurely.
My strategy after taking over was as follows: in the afternoon, before the interest rate meeting, I entered small short positions at 3085 and 3110, planning to hedge with longs if the US stocks dropped to 3047 and then close the positions. But reality was completely opposite to my expectations — the longs only reached 3076 and then stopped, with the lowest at 3057, failing to trigger the short position's take profit. Even more frustrating, I added an equal amount of short positions at 3070, bringing the average price back to 3080 from 3100.
Then the price surged directly to 3130, causing the shorts to start losing. At this point, I began analyzing each candlestick. When I saw a doji at 00:30 on the 15-minute chart, I judged that if the price was really going to break through 3150 and enter consolidation, then the 15-minute candle at 00:45 might do so. In the meantime, I added another equal short position at 3130, bringing the average price to 3105. However, the momentum of the 00:45 candle was indeed insufficient — its real body was less than half the size of the previous candle. I was confident that the shorts should be profitable now.
By 1:45, a key bullish candle appeared. My trading group and I analyzed that if the 2:00 candle couldn't close bullish, then the shorts would need at most two candles, meaning the take profit could be reached before 2:45 at 3077. As expected, between 2:15 and 2:30, the market dropped sharply, and my shorts closed at 2:31. I could also sense that the 2:45 candle was likely to show a strong rebound.
That’s how I wrapped up today. Next week, I’ll continue to work hard and keep a close eye on ETH’s rhythm.