Market Signals Point to Virtually Zero Fed Rate Cut Probability in January

Traders are hardly pricing in any chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut when the central bank convenes next month. The consensus among market participants reflects a hawkish tilt, with futures markets suggesting near-zero probability for monetary easing in January. This expectation underscores how sticky inflation remains and how cautious the Fed continues to be about loosening policy. For crypto and risk asset traders, this dynamic carries significant implications—tighter monetary conditions typically weigh on growth-oriented assets and liquidity conditions across markets.