As of January 3, 2026, 12:30, ETH is currently trading at $3120, showing a predominantly strong intra-day fluctuation, mainly engaging in high selling and low buying within the 3080-3150 range. A key breakout will be followed by a trend continuation and additional positions.

Core Key Levels (USD)

- Support: 3100 (EMA120), 3080 (watershed between bulls and bears), 3050 (strong support)
- Resistance: 3150 (previous high), 3180 (psychological barrier)

Technical Highlights

- Daily Chart: Consecutive bullish candles with long upper shadows, clear resistance at 3150, MACD shows a golden cross but momentum weakens, indicating a sideways upward trend.
- 4-Hour Chart: Double top emerging, RSI overbought turning down, price approaching upper band, short-term correction expected.
- Short-term (1-4 hours): Rebound volume shrinking, KDJ death cross, caution against sharp pullback after rise, prefer to wait for retracement before entering.

Trading Strategies (with clear levels and risk control)

1. Long Strategy (Conservative)
- Entry: Buy on retracement at 3080-3100 to stop the fall (e.g., hammer, bullish engulfing).
- Stop Loss: Below 3060 (40 points).
- Targets: 3130 → 3150, break above to 3180, take profit in stages.
- Position Size: Light position 2-3%, add to 5% upon breakout.

2. Short Strategy (Aggressive)
- Entry: Short on rebound at 3150-3160 encountering resistance (e.g., shooting star, bearish engulfing), insufficient volume.
- Stop Loss: Above 3180 (30 points).
- Targets: 3120 → 3080, break below to 3050.
- Position Size: 1-2%, strict stop loss, no holding through loss.

3. Breakout Strategy
- Upside Break: Break above 3150 with 4-hour candle closing above, chase long, stop loss at 3130, targets 3180-3200.
- Downside Break: Break below 3080 with 4-hour candle closing below, chase short, stop loss at 3100, targets 3050-3030.

Risk Control and Execution

- Single trade loss ≤ **2%** of total capital, strict stop loss without locking positions.
- Use staged position building and take profits gradually, avoid full positions and emotional trading.
- Monitor BTC correlation and macro news; in case of sudden negative news, reduce positions immediately.
- Close intra-day trades within the day; for trend trades, set trailing stop-loss (e.g., EMA120).

Today’s Viewpoint

Focus on trading within the 3080-3150 range, especially watch for breakthroughs of 3080 support and 3150 resistance. Follow the trend after breakout, strictly control risks.