#美联储利率决议 As soon as the interest rate cut expectations came out, another wave of fear of missing out (FOMO) surged in. Watching various analysts say "the bottom has formed" and "continued rebound", I have to pour a bucket of cold water - I've heard this trap too many times.

What should we really be vigilant about? The Federal Reserve hasn't truly cut interest rates yet, and the market has already priced in this expectation. The economist from Nomura is correct; there is still a risk of not lowering interest rates, but no one is discussing this possibility. Moreover, Powell's wording, voting discrepancies, and policy guidance—these are the real variables that will determine the subsequent trends, not something as simple as "the bottom has formed."

I have seen too many people crazily chase the rise during the hype phase, only to be slapped awake by reality. After the interest rate cut, it is actually a release of risk, coupled with the trap positions that the big players have already set up. Short-term bottom? The short-term fluctuations look more like that.

If you really want to survive on the blockchain for a long time, the current strategy should be: observe rather than chase the price, wait for the policy signals to become truly clear, and most importantly, protect your principal. Don't let an "or has formed" expectation lead you in.