One-Hour Bitcoin Market Analysis
1. Trend Structure
This is a movement from high-level oscillation to a breakdown and decline. Previously, the price oscillated and consolidated between 8900-9100, with bullish and bearish forces temporarily balanced.
Subsequently, a series of large bearish candles appeared, directly breaking through the lower boundary of the consolidation zone, entering a rapid decline phase, with the low point reaching 86033.5, dominated by bearish momentum.
2. Key Indicators and Signals
Bollinger Bands: The price has broken below the lower band of the Bollinger Bands, enteri

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January 26
1. Bitcoin Market: Bitcoin broke below support levels, falling below 87,000 USD. The early morning low was around 86,000 USD, then it rebounded slightly, currently closing at 87,000 USD; Ethereum's decline was greater than Bitcoin's, with a low of 2,784 USD, now rebounding to 2,829 USD.
2. Altcoin Market: Following yesterday's brief altcoin season, strong coins from last night to this morning all declined, with only RIVER standing out, peaking above 80 USD, now at 72 USD; AUCTION performed slightly better, now at 7.2 USD; ENSO dropped 25% to 1.5 USD; NOMI declined, at 0.0

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The recent sharp decline in the crypto market was directly triggered by the "爆雷" in the Japanese bond market. Japanese government bond yields soared to multi-decade highs, sparking global fears over the fiscal stability of highly indebted countries, leading to a mass withdrawal from risk assets. Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions such as the escalation of US-EU tariff conflicts (with Trump threatening to impose tariffs on Europe) further heightened market risk aversion. Under this dual macroeconomic shock, Bitcoin and Ethereum, as highly volatile assets, were heavily sold off, along with margin

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In the morning, Ethereum declined from around 2970 in a single-sided downward trend to approximately 2784, a drop of nearly 190 points. Currently, it is consolidating weakly around 2800. The technical outlook shows a clear bearish pattern: the price has effectively broken below the key support zone of 2850-2880, the daily moving averages are in a death cross, the 4-hour Bollinger Bands are opening downward, and the MACD momentum below the zero line is expanding, indicating the continuation of the bearish trend.
Key resistance has shifted down to the 2850-2880 area, with support levels at 2750

This order missed the entry point when it woke up, but the direction was clear, so I opened an Ant position, planning to add more once it goes up. Unexpectedly, it didn't go up either.

Ethereum and Bitcoin prices have fallen as expected to 2800/86300, but the decline has been relatively mild. Something extraordinary might be about to happen in the market! Regarding the topic of stop-loss, there is no fixed answer. For example, in my personal trading approach, within the strategy of mastering both bullish and bearish techniques, stop-loss is not necessary!

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Last night, a stumble and a clear out like that, really damn ruthless. Come on, first bring in the previously flat long position at 3300 with stop-losses above and below, then do some more.