BlockBeats news, on December 22, crypto KOL @ingalvarezsol predicted the valuation of Lighter by combining factors such as Polymarket (2 billion to 3 billion USD), over-the-counter point prices (90 USD per point), and the premarket price of token LIT (3.4 USD): 1.5 billion USD is the minimum valuation (Bear Market range, influenced by venture capital round financing). 3 billion to 4.2 billion USD is the Bear Market benchmark (market capitalization deduced from prediction market/premarket/point prices). Optimistic expectations are above 7.5 billion to 12.5 billion USD (final valuation). @ingalvarezsol emphasized that Hyperliquid and Lighter do not belong to the same category of products: Hyperliquid is building a Web3 native liquidity layer, primarily profiting through retail trading fees (plus ecosystem dynamics). Lighter is constructing decentralized trading infrastructure, aiming to connect with fintech companies/brokers/professional market makers over time, while keeping retail execution costs extremely low (including 0% fees on certain Spot markets). An important catalyst that could drive Lighter's valuation upward in the future is RWA asset trading.
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