#美联储政策 The Fed's interest rate cut on December 10th, along with a liquidity injection of 45 billion, sends a clear signal. Instead of getting bogged down in whether to cut or not, we should focus on the chain reaction after the rate cut—liquidity provided through U.S. Treasury repurchase in the first three months of next year, which is the real Favourable Information.

The BTC triangle pattern is still consolidating, and the key in the short term is whether it can break the upper resistance. A few days ago, I planned to buy at 86,000, but it only dropped to 87,000, just a bit off. Now the small-level support has moved up to the 88,000-89,000 range, and a pullback to this position is an opportunity to go long. After ETH broke below 3,000, it rebounded, and I wanted to buy at 2,880 but ended up missing it at 2,900. The current price is still in a rebound, and I plan to continue waiting for a small-level pullback. As long as it can hold above 3,000, the probability of further upside is quite high.

There’s something interesting about the small coins here——Gps, Ntrn, Newt, pnut, nil are still hovering at the bottom, likely preparing for a big move. BCH, which I previously positioned in, has pulled back to around 600 again, planning to build a bottom position first and see. Among the popular coins, ASTER's 0.9 is a critical point; CZ has bought at this price point, and retail investors are fully confident. If it breaks down, just look at ZEC's past experience to know the consequences. TAO will halve for the first time this week; I plan to go long at 300, add at 275, and set a stop-loss at 260, targeting the range of 380-400. If it doesn’t pull up, we can only say the market maker is beyond saving.

The core issue is still the liquidity expectations from this wave of the Fed, and the market is indeed due for a big move. Specific entry and exit positions should be determined based on real-time market conditions; follow the trend if it breaks out. However, regardless of how confident you are, take profit and stop-loss must be strictly executed.