#宏观经济 Hasset has a 86% probability of becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair, and this signal is quite significant. Most importantly, this guy has a genuine understanding of crypto—holding millions of dollars in Coinbase stock, having served on advisory committees, and participating in the White House Digital Asset Working Group. This is not just talk; it's solid background.

From a macro perspective, his advocated combination of accelerated rate cuts and restarting QE, along with a persistent focus on GDP growth, acts as a catalyst for liquidity. Market expectations suggest that the real bull market will begin around mid-next year, with the second half of 2026 being the key period—remember this timeline.

From a follow-trade perspective, it’s crucial now to observe the movements of traders who are sensitive to macro cycles. Especially those forward-looking medium- to long-term traders who may already be positioning in advance. If someone in your follow list has recently adjusted their positions or increased their sensitivity to liquidity expectations, it’s worth analyzing their logic more carefully.

For those with high risk appetite, consider short-term arbitrage strategies with aggressive traders; conservative traders should focus on those employing long-term allocations under policy expectations. The key is not to be driven by short-term emotions—bullish expectations are most likely to lead to chasing highs, so stop-loss plans must be prepared in advance.