Forecast Market Polymarket Explodes! Open Contracts Increase by 170% Year-to-Date, Setting a New Record

2025-12-17 10:14:13

【CoinPush】According to on-chain data analysis, the prediction market Polymarket has been on a steady rise this year. As of recent days, its open interest has climbed to approximately $326 million, representing a staggering 170% increase from the $120 million level at the beginning of the year.

In terms of market composition, Polymarket’s volume is supported by three main sectors: sports betting leads with a 46.6% share, political predictions follow closely at 21.12%, and crypto-related topics contribute 12.4%. This diversified market structure makes Polymarket one of the most active prediction trading platforms today.

Interestingly, there is often a “liquidation wave” at the end of each month—mass market position settlements cause about one-third of open contracts to be liquidated, which explains the cyclical fluctuations in contract volume.

Polymarket’s historical memory still lingers from November last year. At that time, the US presidential election attracted a massive influx of traders, with open contracts in the political sector reaching as high as $385 million, pushing the total contract volume to a record high of $410 million.

Looking ahead to next year, institutions are optimistic about this platform’s continued growth. Some reports predict that by 2026, Polymarket’s open interest could break historical records and even surpass the peaks seen during the 2024 election cycle.

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GasFeeTherapist

· 2025-12-20 08:44

170% Wow, this growth rate is indeed incredible. Sports betting surprisingly accounts for nearly half. The end-of-month settlement wave is really a bold setup. Just thinking about it gives me a headache. Political predictions are actually more popular than crypto, I didn't expect that. Polymarket is really riding the wave right now. It just feels like a gambler's paradise, but the data is right here.

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BugBountyHunter

· 2025-12-19 20:52

Sports betting 46%? This is the real traffic secret, far more than the crypto circle players.

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gaslight_gasfeez

· 2025-12-18 02:54

170%？ Damn, that's pretty intense. Sports betting actually accounts for nearly half of the volume. --- The end-of-month clearing wave feels like just harvesting the leeks. --- Cryptocurrency topics only 12.4%? I thought it would be more, turns out it's not mainstream. --- From 120 million to 326 million, this growth rate is indeed crazy. Just wonder how long it can last. --- Wait, political predictions account for 21%? That's quite popular.

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ForkTrooper

· 2025-12-17 10:39

170% increase, with sports betting taking the biggest share. Feels like it's all just gambling on sports. The end-of-month liquidation wave is a bit intense, always getting liquidated and cut losses. Political predictions seem to be the most likely to produce black swan events. Polymarket is really getting more competitive. Sports betting liquidity is excellent, but the fees are a bit painful.

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GasFeeCrier

· 2025-12-17 10:29

170% is really outrageous, but the sports betting odds are this high? It feels like there are more people betting on illegal gambling.

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WagmiAnon

· 2025-12-17 10:29

170%? Damn, Polymarket has really taken off this time --- Sports betting accounts for such a big chunk, I thought crypto topics could last a bit longer --- The end-of-month clearing wave... Wait, does that mean the data isn't as exaggerated as it seems? --- Since November last year? Feels like it just happened yesterday --- The three main sectors supporting... look quite balanced, but sports is just too profitable --- Can the clearing wave cut a third? Then the recent surge at the beginning of the month was actually an illusion haha --- 170% growth in contract volume, how many people are betting huh --- Political predictions hold 21%... This is how it is in an election year in the US, next year will be even crazier --- Wait, what does it mean that its historical memory is stuck in November last year? Why is it repeating itself? --- Polymarket is hot, but this cyclical volatility needs to be watched carefully

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TommyTeacher

· 2025-12-17 10:22

A 170% increase is indeed fierce, but be careful with the end-of-month liquidation wave, as it's easy to get cut.

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ZKProofster

· 2025-12-17 10:22

ngl, that monthly liquidation cycle feels like a built-in feature for liquidating retail... technically speaking, the 170% growth is impressive but most of it's probably sports betting tourists anyway

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MerkleMaid

· 2025-12-17 10:19

A 170% increase is really impressive, but I have to guard against the liquidation wave at the end of the month.

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CryptoSurvivor

· 2025-12-17 10:15

The 170% figure is quite impressive, but with nearly half of it coming from sports betting, it feels a bit unrealistic. The end-of-month clearing wave has been used for a while; cyclical fluctuations are nothing new. Can Polymarket really challenge Uniswap, or is it just a flash in the pan? Back in November last year, I was also involved. I didn't expect such a crazy increase. The crypto sector is only 12%, it seems gamblers have all gone to play sports haha. Contract volume has doubled, but what about liquidity? That's the key. Polymarket's breakout? I'll just see if it becomes the next project to blow up.

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