2025-12-16 18:10:12

#大户持仓变化 December 17 Early Morning Market Brief

$BTC rebound momentum is evolving—shifting from a rebound to a reversal pace. The key to the recent trend is whether it can hold the 85,000 level (which is a strong support), while 87,000 has shifted from a resistance level to support. From the 4-hour K-line, the market is in an upward channel, with a clear upward trend. The signal of closing at a high in the late session is quite obvious, indicating a high probability of continuing upward today. Although the space overhead isn't large, the success rate of breaking new highs is very high.

$ETH's rhythm is similar.

【Trading Strategy Reference】
Bitcoin: Consider going long in the range of 86,800 to 86,300, with eyes on 88,000 to 88,500 as the stage target.

Ethereum: Consider going long around 2,900 to 2,870, with a target of 2,950 to 3,000.

BTC1.52%

ETH1.87%

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TokenTherapist

· 12-18 20:12

Is the 85,000 line really that strong? It feels like I hear this every time. High success rate of breaking new highs? Then why does it still fall, haha. 87,000 changing from resistance to support, this transition speed is a bit fast. The bullish zone is back again, can we really buy the dip this time? Does Ethereum's rhythm really match Bitcoin's? It doesn't quite look like it to me. The 88,500 target sounds quite tempting, but I'm worried it might drop again.

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ChainDoctor

· 12-18 01:36

If you can't hold 85,000, it will be troublesome. Can we really break a new high this time?

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MetaverseMortgage

· 12-17 06:27

86800 this level is here again, always entangling at this point. Can it really break out? High success rate in breaking new highs? Why does Ge speak so confidently? See you at 88000, don’t run away then. ETH’s pace is really too lazy to keep up with. It’s both bullish and breaking new highs again. If the market is so good, why are there still people trapped?

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ForkLibertarian

· 12-16 18:37

Whether 85,000 breaks or not is the key. It feels a bit uncertain this time, but if it stabilizes at 87,000, it's worth following.

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OnChainSleuth

· 12-16 18:37

Whether it breaks 85,000 or not is the real point of interest; otherwise, it's all empty talk. Is the success rate of breaking a new high high? I've heard that many times; the risk still needs to be guarded against. Looking at 88,000 feels comfortable, but I'm just worried about a backlash.

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ProbablyNothing

· 12-16 18:35

If I can't break 85,000, I don't believe this wave can rise. Just wait and see.

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MerkleMaid

· 12-16 18:31

Same old story, high success rate of breaking new highs? The last time I heard you say that, 88k was directly smashed down.

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HodlKumamon

· 12-16 18:31

The data looks quite good. I'll try a DCA wave in the 86,300-86,800 range, but I still need to hold above 85,000. If that line drops, we'll have to recalculate everything, meow.

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