#FedRateCutPrediction Bitcoin continues to move in line with expectations, with price action maintaining a bearish structure as selling pressure gradually strengthens. Intraday trends remain under downside control, and short-term downside space has reopened. Although price has repeatedly tested lower levels near 85,000, no confirmed breakdown has occurred so far, signaling the presence of underlying support.

On the daily chart, three consecutive bearish candles accelerated the decline, with price decisively breaking below the 88,000 support zone. A low near 85,073 was tested before a close around 85,576, highlighting dominant bearish momentum while confirming demand below the current range. On the 4-hour timeframe, consecutive bearish candles persist, with the latest showing a long lower shadow after testing 85,000, indicating short-term buying interest. The prior high at 87,189 now acts as a key resistance level.
From a technical perspective, bearish momentum remains intact. On the 4-hour chart, MACD lines continue to diverge below the zero axis, with expanding negative histogram values signaling increasing downside pressure. The daily MACD death cross has widened further, reinforcing the prevailing downtrend. Price has broken below all key EMA levels (7, 30, 120), while the 4-hour EMA7 and EMA30 form a classic bearish alignment, keeping rallies under pressure.
Trading Bias
The primary strategy remains selling on rebounds, with strong resistance near the 89,200 area. Attention should remain on the 85,000 level, as a confirmed breakdown could accelerate downside momentum.
Bitcoin Short-Term Reference
Short positions: 89,300–90,300
Stop loss: 92,500
Target: below 88,500
Long positions: 82,300–83,300
Stop loss: 81,500
Target: above 85,500
Ethereum Short-Term Reference
Short positions: 3,095–3,145
Stop loss: 30 points
Target: below 3,000
Long positions: 2,881–2,831
Stop loss: 30 points
Target: above 2,980
Market conditions can shift rapidly, and analysis delivery may experience delays. All strategies are for reference only. Consistent risk management, disciplined stop-loss placement, and profit protection remain essential in all market environments.

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