The contest for Federal Reserve Chair suddenly faces a twist: the "live campaign" of two Kevins

[BlockBeats] The selection of the Federal Reserve Chairman sparks new waves. The originally favored Haskett has come under suspicion from top officials for “being too close to the President,” and his position is no longer secure. Ironically, he was initially the strongest candidate to succeed Powell precisely because of his close relationship with Trump.

The turning point occurred last week. Trump first disclosed that a candidate had been locked in, then changed his tune in an interview—former Fed Governor Wosh has now also become a final candidate. This shift was immediately reflected in the prediction markets.

Data speaks for itself. On the Kalshi platform, Haskett’s probability of being elected dropped from over 80% at the beginning of the month to the current 51%; Wosh’s probability surged from 11% in early December to 44%. JPMorgan Chase CEO Dimon further boosted Wosh’s momentum with a statement on Thursday—although he praised both candidates as outstanding, his tone seemed to favor the former governor.

“Both Kevins are excellent,” Trump simply commented. But the market detected an implied meaning. The rescheduling of candidate interviews after they were canceled in early December is likely the result of this undercurrent. For investors, the policy stance of the Fed Chair directly affects financial markets. The final outcome of this “Kevin rivalry” may be more important than you think.