The race for the next Federal Reserve Chair is heating up with two frontrunners emerging. President Trump has indicated that Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh are his top picks for the position when the current Fed Chair's term ends in May 2026. The crypto prediction markets have taken notice—Kalshi traders are currently pricing Hassett's chances at around 54%, while Warsh sits at 38%. This speculation reflects the market's keen interest in who will steer monetary policy over the next cycle. Given the crypto industry's sensitivity to Fed decisions on interest rates and liquidity, these shifts in policy leadership carry weight for traders monitoring macroeconomic direction.

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
  • Reward
  • 7
  • Repost
  • Share
Comment
Add a comment
Add a comment
GameFiCriticvip
· 2025-12-16 13:08
Oops, Hassett 54% vs Warsh 38%, this gap is a bit significant. The question is, who between the two will have a clearer direction on interest rate policy once in office? The key depends on the subsequent pace of liquidity injections.
View OriginalReply0
ChainMemeDealervip
· 2025-12-16 08:36
Hassett looks like he's going to win this round, with a 54% probability, far ahead of Warsh... In our crypto circle, we need to keep a close eye on who becomes the Fed Chair, as any change in interest rate policy will make the entire market shake.
View OriginalReply0
RunWithRugsvip
· 2025-12-14 07:24
Hassett 54% Is this probability really stable... Feels like it might reverse multiple times next year
View OriginalReply0
MetaMisfitvip
· 2025-12-13 22:53
If that guy Hassett really rises to power, we'll have to see what his stance on crypto is. Hopefully not another hawkish stance...
View OriginalReply0
ForkTonguevip
· 2025-12-13 22:52
Hassett 54% odds? If this guy really gets promoted, we'll have to see his attitude. Will the interest rate policy be more friendly to us?
View OriginalReply0
GasFeeWhisperervip
· 2025-12-13 22:47
Hassett's 54% winning chance seems a bit uncertain; it feels like Warsh's comeback probability is underestimated.
View OriginalReply0
MEVSupportGroupvip
· 2025-12-13 22:30
Can we really trust Hassett's 54%... I feel like Warsh understands macroeconomics even better.
View OriginalReply0
  • Pin