2025-12-13 04:23:23

Last night's market movement seemed quite sudden at first glance. But if you've been following in-depth analyses of recent Federal Reserve policies, it's not hard to understand the underlying logic.

Last week, the Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points. Powell's stance was neither dovish nor hawkish; the core idea was to let data speak for future policy directions. Once this signal was out, the market needed to reprice.

The judgment at the time was straightforward: this is not a confirmation of a bull market but rather an early emotional release in a bear market. The subsequent market performance almost fully confirmed this logic.

Why is this happening? A few details on the chart make it clear. Positive news had already been priced in advance. The previous rally was mainly driven by sentiment, but once a correction occurred, real trading volume surfaced. Most importantly, risk assets are now waiting for "genuine easing policies," but the Fed has only provided an "observation period," which is itself a mismatch.

In this environment, the most rational market reaction is to clear out restless long positions and find a new equilibrium. So, what looks like a sell-off is actually a delayed price adjustment.

There's a trading logic worth pondering here: truly useful analysis is never about predicting rises or falls itself, but about helping you judge "when is the best time not to act." Maintaining restraint during market exuberance and choosing a defensive stance when most are bullish—that mindset is what long-term players at the table should have.

Market trends are not proven by words, but by repeated market validation. Stay low-key, slow down, and let time do the talking.

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DegenWhisperer

· 2025-12-16 03:13

It's the same "data speaks" rhetoric again. I've heard it for over a year, and I still can't shake the mindset of an isosceles triangle. I've already said that the impatient bulls need to be cleaned out. The problem is, once they're cleared, what's next? There are more challenges ahead.

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GateUser-4745f9ce

· 2025-12-16 01:50

Another wave of market sentiment being hijacked, and it’s still too late to wake up. --- Lowering interest rates itself isn’t a big deal; the key is that there’s no follow-up, and the market has finally realized this. --- That’s right, the ones truly making money are not the ones bottom-fishing, but those who know when to shut up. --- Just by reading this article, you can see that most people are still fixated on ups and downs, unaware that the equilibrium point is the real key. --- The early-stage emotional release in a bear market is a pretty harsh judgment, but it indeed aligns with the current trend. --- The question is, how many people can truly hold steady when hot money floods in? It sounds simple, but actually doing it is deadly. --- The word “mismatch” is used perfectly here; the market wants real cash, but what it gets is a waiting period. No wonder it’s getting hammered. --- It’s inevitable that impatient bulls will be cleaned out; it all depends on who can survive until the last moment. --- Trading volume is lying, and this time it’s been verified: volume shrinks during rises, but trading explodes during drops, matching the indicator.

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DeFiVeteran

· 2025-12-13 18:41

I agree with this logic, but it's a bit too refined. Honestly, those who chase the highs should all be washed out; there's nothing more to say.

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DEXRobinHood

· 2025-12-13 10:22

I've seen through it long ago, just waiting for this wave of shakeout to clear out the retail investors.

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GasFeeCrier

· 2025-12-13 04:53

Oh, Powell's move is indeed a bit sneaky, the observation period is just a trick to deceive the bulls. --- Another wave of clearing out impatient traders, I already said this is not a bullish signal. --- Trading volume is the real indicator; a sentiment-driven rally will eventually have to correct. --- Got it, the key is knowing when not to move—that's the mindset of a master. --- Dumping the market is essentially a price correction; the market is doing what it should. --- Risk assets are waiting for easing, but all we got was an observation period, which is a bit off. --- Stay low-key and take it slow; time will prove everything, much more reliable than shouting signals every day. --- Good news was digested in advance; there's no more ammunition left, a pullback is inevitable. --- The early emotional release in a bear market—this judgment is really sharp.

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SmartContractDiver

· 2025-12-13 04:51

It's the same old "I saw through this a long time ago" script again, does no one really lose money? Sounds convincing, but wait... who doesn't know the word "misalignment" now? The key still depends on holdings; being stubborn isn't worth anything. Dumping the market is just dumping the market; don't put a "price correction" shell on it. If you want to survive long-term, you need solid stop-loss strategies, not just high moral awareness. Self-control is a good thing, but losing money is truly losing money.

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SerRugResistant

· 2025-12-13 04:49

Wait, isn't this just the old trick of pre-emptive digestion? Playing like this every time.

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LoneValidator

· 2025-12-13 04:49

Well, how should I put it? Just don't follow the trend. Dumping is about clearing out impatience; it should have happened earlier. Once you see through it, just lie back; it's much more useful than shouting blindly. Not every pullback is an opportunity; this time it's a pure pricing correction. Powell is giving an observation period, not easing; the market hasn't figured that out yet. The true traders know when to keep quiet, and that's the hardest part. Trading volume tells the truth; emotions can't be fooled for long.

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YieldWhisperer

· 2025-12-13 04:48

It's another wave of emotional rollercoaster, all fooled by the false prosperity earlier. I've said it before, data is the real boss, and calling signals are all nonsense. The short squeeze still needs to continue; don't be fooled by the rebound. Powell's observation period is just waiting for us to cut losses; smart people have already left. Details in the market chart don't lie; trading volume is the real truth, everything else is just stories. This round of price correction must be endured; overly anxious positions should be cleared. Knowing when not to act is more valuable than predicting the rise or fall. Most people are bullish, so I play defense; this mindset will keep you alive longer. Time will prove everything; those calling signals now will have to take a hit.

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TommyTeacher1

· 2025-12-13 04:48

I've seen through it. I've long known that rate cuts are not a good signal. Those chasing the trend should have been cleaned out long ago. Wait, the ones truly making money are always the patient ones. What about you? Rate cuts are actually a trap. I'm puzzled as to how those people are still chasing the bull. Misalignment is a very sharp term; the market is just correcting the previous impatient pricing. Instead of guessing ups and downs, it's better to learn when to hide. That's the real skill. That's right, sell-offs are supposed to happen; arriving late is more awkward than not coming at all. It's actually emotions driving the previous gains. Once the volume appears, the truth becomes clear. Maintaining restraint is more effective than any technical indicator, but unfortunately, most people can't learn it. The Federal Reserve is just using the observation period as a pretext. Risk assets are caught off guard. I think those who keep shouting about ups and downs should be educated by the market.

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