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#美联储货币政策 From the perspective of liquidity and contract data, this rebound indeed has some basis. The RSI indicator is approaching 30, which historically often signals a bottom. At the same time, the increase in long positions by large traders also confirms an improvement in market sentiment. However, I think the target of $100,000 may be somewhat optimistic. A more likely scenario is a pullback to around the 50-week moving average, then observing the Federal Reserve's policy direction to determine the subsequent trend. It is recommended to pay attention to the upcoming monetary policy meeting, especially the signals regarding QT and interest rate cuts, as these will be key factors affecting short-term movements.