In the crypto market, complex strategies don't always work. Some treat trading coins like a math competition, but still end up losing money. Instead, a few simple and straightforward rules can help your account survive longer.

Let's start with some basic judgment standards:

**Opportunity of Nine Consecutive Down Days**
If a mainstream coin drops for nine days straight from a high level, it's usually the end of a shakeout. Last year, SOL and DOGE both showed this pattern, followed by rebound windows. Of course, this doesn't mean blindly bottom-fishing—volume must be considered, and a decline on decreasing volume is more meaningful.

**Retreat After Short-term Surge**
If the coin price surges for two consecutive days, reduce your position by 80%. Historical data shows there's over a 70% chance of a pullback on the third day. Many people get wiped out by the wishful thinking of "maybe it'll go up if I wait longer."

**Selling Point During Morning Rise**
If the price jumps more than 7% in the morning session, don't rush to sell. Usually, the better selling opportunity occurs after 2 PM, often allowing you to gain another 2-3 points. This time difference is caused by the rotation of trading time zones.

**Interpreting Sideways Signals**
If a coin consolidates for three days in a row, it indicates that funds are hesitating. Watch for three more days; if the price still doesn't break out or break down, consider reallocating. Recently, SHIB and PEPE avoided a big drop by following this rhythm.

**Volume Warning Sign**
High volume at a high price without price movement is the most dangerous signal. Several star coins in 2023 collapsed this way, and those slow to react suffered losses of about 90%.

Two lines worth paying attention to: the 30-day moving average helps screen coins, while the 3-day moving average helps identify buy and sell points. Last year, several well-performing coins had key moves near these two lines.

For small funds, riding the mid-term trend is much better than holding onto hopes. Making 20% in five days and then exiting beats fantasizing for three months. The market isn't short of opportunities; what’s missing is discipline to hold onto profits.

Technical indicators are just tools; the real challenge is execution. Many understand the market, but few can operate strictly according to rules.