Peter 12·11 Market Analysis:

Interest rate cuts are implemented but the market doesn’t rise; it falls instead? Don’t panic, this is the market’s everyday performance**

Brothers, after watching the Federal Reserve cut rates last night, my first reaction was:
“Finally, good news is here!”
The market’s first reaction was:
“Good news for you alone.”
It’s typical — the benefits of rate cuts are realized, but the market continues to move sideways as if it’s not satisfied. So today’s core advice can be summarized in four words:
Play it safe.

① BTC & ETH: Key support + Trading rhythm
BTC (Bitcoin)

Right now, BTC is like walking a tightrope; the 12-hour trend line is everything.
As long as the closing price doesn’t break below the trend line, everyone can stay calm and enjoy tea.

Take profit reference: 96,000
Stop loss reference (dynamic): around 89,000

Steady and cautious, those holding positions can consider reducing some — don’t go all-in, and don’t be too stubborn.

ETH (Ethereum)

ETH’s recent character is: it rises faster than anyone else when it goes up, but when it consolidates, it’s more dead than BTC.
Similarly, the 12-hour trend line is ETH’s “heart protector.”

As long as it holds, it’s safe.

Take profit reference: above 3500

Stop loss reference (dynamic): around 3100

If you’re itching to open a new position…
Can’t resist, then consider around 3288, but don’t go all-in recklessly.
Take profit target: above 3500+
Stop loss: 3085
② Interest rate cut is implemented, but the market doesn’t rise?

Last night, the Fed cut rates by 25bp, which is a textbook-level positive signal.
More importantly, Powell also made a series of friendly comments, so logically the market should rally… but instead:

Market: I won’t.
You: ???

This is the charm of the crypto market—
“Good news, but not fully good.”

Tonight’s focus is on two things:
❶ 20:00 → 12-hour close
Only one thing to watch:
Close above the trend line and it’s safe.
❷ If there’s a “fake fall,” that’s an opportunity, not panic.

The market is already waiting for a volume explosion, and a fake move might come first, followed by a real rally.
So today’s keyword is not “chase,” but “defend.”

Peter summarizes:
The market isn’t bad, the trend isn’t gone; the rate cut is just giving the market a reason to pretend.
As investors, don’t follow along with the pretenses.
Stay steady, set your take profits and stop losses, stay calm, and just watch the 12-hour close tonight.