2025-12-10 18:40:26

#美联储启动新一轮降息周期 Let's discuss how macro policies are actually boosting the crypto market.

In the short term, expectations of interest rate cuts have already been priced in quite a bit. If market expectations are actually realized, Bitcoin could briefly surge towards 94,000. However, there's a common trap here—"buy the rumor, sell the fact." Once the expectation is fulfilled, a correction is likely, so caution is advised.

More importantly, if the central bank simultaneously promotes liquidity release (such as expanding its balance sheet), it could provide more direct support to the crypto market. Currently, systemic leverage has been reduced from around 10% to the 4%-5% range. The market has already undergone a round of deleveraging, and subsequent gains on this basis would be relatively healthier.

But risks are also present: if policy turns hawkish suddenly (for example, hinting at a pause in interest rate cuts), or if Bitcoin falls below the 91,000 mark, the bullish positions will face liquidation. Currently, the single liquidation volume could reach about $972 million. Once triggered, it could trigger a chain reaction.

BTC-1,23%

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SocialAnxietyStaker

· 2025-12-13 10:48

I know the tactic of buying on expectations and selling on facts too well, I fall for it every time haha

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RamenDeFiSurvivor

· 2025-12-11 16:43

Buying the rumor and selling the news—are you tired of this routine and still want to keep falling into the trap?

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HashRateHermit

· 2025-12-11 03:12

Buying the rumor and selling the fact is an old trick that we need to learn from. If the 94,000 level really breaks, it might turn out to be a trap.

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MemeKingNFT

· 2025-12-10 19:10

Buying the old trick of "buy the rumor, sell the fact" always ensnares someone, and I haven't been an exception haha Looking at on-chain data, the current de-leverage cycle has indeed been quite solid, but if that 91,000 level really breaks, I guess my long positions will be wiped out If the central bank dares to truly expand its balance sheet, that would be real liquidity, not just an expectation game. That's what we've been waiting for A liquidation volume of $972 million... just thinking about the potential chain reaction makes me a bit nervous; market sentiment is too fragile Actually, it's still the same advice—go with the flow, don't be too greedy chasing 94,000. Preserving your principal is more important than anything else

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WagmiWarrior

· 2025-12-10 19:06

Buying the rumor and selling the fact is a common strategy; there's a high chance that the 94,000 won't break through.

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PanicSeller