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The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision in December and Master Bao's speech are coming, and a wave of big markets is quietly coming, are you ready?
Some are betting on another 25 basis point rate cut, others are betting on no rate cuts, and from the current market expectations, the probability of a rate cut has risen to 89%. In fact, what Sister Ying wants to say is that "whether to cut interest rates" is no longer important, what is important is Master Bao's speech and the follow-up policy signal guidance for 2026.
Interest rate cuts, Bitcoin will definitely rise sharply? Not necessarily, after all, the interest rate cut market in October still fell sharply, which is also the first time in so many years that interest rates have fallen.
Sister Ying believes that whether or not to cut interest rates has little reference significance for the market, after all, the market has almost digested it, and it is almost waiting for the moment when it lands. Hawkish and dovish controversies within the Fed continued, and Master Bao emphasized that it was not a certainty to cut interest rates in December, and Trump continued to criticize Master Bao for cutting interest rates too late, but the market still has too much uncertainty.
For Master Bao's speech, we should focus on whether it is an expected interest rate cut, a hawkish or dovish interest rate cut, and the three different ways of interest rate cuts will also cause different fluctuations in the market.
In addition, there are candidates for the next Fed chairman, dot plot, and the policy tone (number of rate cuts) in 2026. At that time, Sister Ying will give accurate news anatomy and real-time market layout before that. #BTC