According to the latest data from the prediction platform Polymarket, the probability of Kevin Hassett being appointed as the next Federal Reserve Chair has soared to 86%, significantly ahead of other contenders.

What does this number mean? As a key advisor in Trump’s economic team, Hassett has always been dovish in his policy stance—favoring a more accommodative monetary environment to stimulate economic growth. If he actually takes over the Fed, it could mean the rate-cut cycle will accelerate, and the resulting liquidity release would be a major boon for risk assets.

The crypto market is notoriously sensitive to Fed policy. Looking back at history, every time a rate-cut cycle begins, Bitcoin and major altcoins see significant capital inflows. Currently, ETH is consolidating at a critical level, and there are signs that the SEC’s regulatory stance is softening. If this is combined with expectations of a Fed pivot, there’s considerable upside potential for this market move.

Of course, 86% isn’t 100%. But the market has already started pricing in this expectation—smart money always moves before the news is officially confirmed. Are you ready?