#数字货币市场洞察 Midnight 00:00, the US November New York Fed inflation expectations data will be released soon (previous value 3.24%). This number is pretty wild—it not only affects gold prices but also moves the entire sector, including silver and crude oil.

Imagine this: if inflation expectations rebound, the market will bet that the Fed will keep interest rates high for longer. What’s the result? US Treasury yields soar, the US dollar index strengthens, and as gold is a zero-yield asset, the opportunity cost of holding it rises. In the short term, gold prices face significant selling pressure, and if support levels are breached, it can easily trigger a chain reaction.

On the flip side, if inflation expectations decline, the market’s expectations for Fed rate cuts next year will grow. At this point, Treasury yields and the dollar will likely weaken, and gold’s anti-inflation attributes and sensitivity to interest rate changes will both come into play—a new round of upward momentum could begin. If trading volume increases at the same time, the probability of a successful breakout will rise significantly.

Don’t overlook this: gold acts like an anchor in the precious metals sector, and silver closely follows its pace. The issue is, silver’s volatility is often much higher than gold’s, so the same data swings can become even more intense for silver.