#美SEC促进加密资产创新监管框架 Everyone in the space is watching the December 10th rate cut decision.

First, from a data perspective: the market is currently pricing in a 92% chance of a 25 basis point cut, and more importantly, QT might be completely wrapped up. What does this mean? Liquidity is coming. The dollar will weaken, bonds will be under pressure, and in this environment, funds are definitely going to flow into high-risk, high-reward assets, with the crypto market at the forefront.

Looking back at history, BTC has averaged nearly a 10% increase during December rate cut cycles. At this pace, from the current 89K level, a move up to the 95K-100K range isn’t out of the question. What's even more aggressive is on the institutional side—a top asset management firm scooped up $4.9 billion worth of assets last month, and the fear index has dropped to 20. Honestly, this level is already pretty low.

From an operational standpoint, here’s what I’m thinking:
In the days leading up to the rate cut, you can build positions in batches around 89-90K, but don’t FOMO in at higher prices. When Powell actually turns dovish, the market will take off, and the 95K-100K zone will be the first target.

Of course, there needs to be some risk management—what if that 8% chance comes true and there’s no rate cut? Then 85-86K will be the second opportunity to buy the dip. Anyway, looking at the longer term, there’s a high probability we’ll see a bull market in 2026.

These next couple of days are probably the last key window of the year. Don’t panic, hold your positions, ride out this short-term volatility, and next year could be harvest season.

$BTC $ETH $SOL