2025-12-07 10:23:27

The latest market news is here—according to interest rate futures data, traders are now pricing in an 86.2% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut rates by 25 basis points this month, with only a 13.8% chance of keeping rates unchanged.

A reminder of key timing: At 3:00 AM Beijing time on December 11, the Fed will announce its latest rate decision, with market expectations for a cut from the current 4.00% to 3.75%. Half an hour later, at 3:30 AM, Powell will hold the routine monetary policy press conference.

This decision will have a significant impact on risk asset markets, so it's recommended to pay attention to any changes in the post-meeting statement.

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ShitcoinConnoisseur

· 2025-12-10 02:36

86.2% probability? Heh, I bet Powell is going to play word games again... --- Staying up until 3 AM just for this? It all depends on how he says it. --- Whether they cut rates or not was probably decided long ago, now it's just about how they spin it. --- All the risk assets are trembling... Is this really the turning point? --- Instead of looking at probabilities, it's better to watch Powell's expression—that's the real signal. --- Another sleepless night is upon us, everyone. --- Wording changes... you mean, will he be dovish this time?

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YieldFarmRefugee

· 2025-12-08 08:07

Waking up at 3 a.m. just to watch Powell's reaction—what a life this is.

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ZenChainWalker

· 2025-12-07 10:51

86.2% probability... Sounds pretty high, but I'm still a bit nervous. Staying up until 3 a.m. to gamble on this feels a bit not worth it.

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RugDocScientist

· 2025-12-07 10:44

86.2%? I'm just worried that the higher the probability, the more likely we'll get slapped in the face. If Powell says one thing, it could all go down the drain.

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MEVictim

· 2025-12-07 10:36

There is already an 86.2% chance locked in, just waiting for Powell not to pull any surprises. I’ll be staying up at 3 a.m. to watch.

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PhantomHunter