The divergence between altcoins and the Russell 2000 is intensifying. Is a catch-up rally on the way?

Question

[Crypto World] Recently, I've noticed an interesting phenomenon—the short-term correlation between altcoins and the Russell 2000 index is weakening. Currently, Bitcoin accounts for 59% of the market share, while the altcoin index is only at 37%, and their trends are starting to diverge.Although the long-term trends are still somewhat aligned, this kind of divergence often means the lagging side is about to catch up. Looking back at previous cycles, such contraction phases are usually followed by explosive expansion.Moreover, the current macro environment isn't too bad, and with potential catalysts like ETF approval progress and Ethereum technical upgrades, an altcoin season might really be brewing. Of course, the market never follows the script, but at the very least, these signals are worth paying attention to.

quietly_staking · Accepted Answer

59% vs 37%, here we go again with the same rhetoric... Every cycle they say the catch-up rally is coming, but in the end, Bitcoin still crushes everything.

Will it be different this time? It's really hard to say.

FadCatcher · Answer

Wait, is it really different this time? Altcoins have been suppressed for so long, if they catch up they might just take off.

Talking about cycles again, it feels like every time they say this and then the market crashes...

BTC has a 59% dominance, feels like it hasn't accumulated enough yet, I don't really trust this wave.

ETH upgrade + ETF does seem promising, but it takes a lot of guts to go all in on altcoins.

I've heard "history repeats itself" too many times... but it's true that it's worth paying attention.

If there really is a catch-up rally this time, I'll admit it, and finally take off my bear hat.

StableGenius · Answer

nah, empirically speaking this divergence angle gets recycled every cycle... altseason copium never dies, does it

degenwhisperer · Answer

Uh, here comes the “catch-up rally” talk again. Every time they say it’s different this time, haha.

Still waiting for alt season? Last time people waited for that, it was a disaster.

With Bitcoin this strong, do alts even dare to move...

Wait, are you serious about that 59%? Feels like Bitcoin could keep draining liquidity.

I’ve heard so much about catch-up rallies it’s getting old—might as well just go all-in.

Macro environment not bad? Are you sure you’ve read the news?

Didn’t ETFs and upgrades already get hyped before? What’s the point of bringing them up now?

If alt season comes, I’ll eat shit. I’ll say it three times.

TrustlessMaximalist · Answer

It’s the same old story—every time they say the rebound is coming, but what’s the result? I’m still stuck holding the bag.

CodeAuditQueen · Answer

The data divergence is indeed quite concerning, but what I care more about is whether this wave of catch-up gains is once again being driven by reentrancy vulnerabilities in some contracts. I've heard too much about historical cycles—every time people say an explosion is coming, but what happens? Bitcoin takes a dive, and everything resets. ETFs and upgrades are just narratives; what really determines the direction is where the money on-chain is flowing.

MainnetDelayedAgain · Answer

According to the database, we've been patiently waiting for altcoins to catch up for a long time now. It's been several cycles since we last heard similar arguments... It will eventually happen, right?

MysteriousZhang · Answer

Are altcoins about to make a comeback this time? I'm still a bit cautious—last time I said this, I ended up getting stuck.

There are so many catalysts like ETFs and upgrades, but when it actually happens, it turns into "the market has its own ideas."

A 59% BTC dominance is definitely putting a lot of pressure... But as easy as it is to talk about catch-up rallies, actually making it happen is tough.

The divergence between altcoins and the Russell 2000 is intensifying. Is a catch-up rally on the way?

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