Macro Outlook for Next Week: The Fed’s Highly Controversial Rate Cut Approaches, Gold Enters Volatile Mode

The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision will be the focus next week. After the recent weak US employment data, the market widely expects the Fed to lower rates. Here are the key points the market will be watching in the coming week:

Tuesday 0:00, US November New York Fed 1-year inflation expectations;

Tuesday 23:00, US October JOLTs job openings;

Wednesday 3:00, Fed FOMC announces interest rate decision and economic projections; 3:30, Fed Chair Powell holds monetary policy press conference;

Thursday 21:30, US initial jobless claims for the week ending December 6, US September trade balance;

Friday 1:00, Fed releases US household financial health data in the Q3 2025 Flow of Funds Report;

Friday 21:00, 2026 FOMC voting member, Philadelphia Fed President Harker speaks on economic outlook; 21:30, 2026 FOMC voting member, Cleveland Fed President Mester speaks;

Friday 23:35, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee participates in a moderator dialogue ahead of the Chicago Fed’s 39th Annual Economic Outlook Symposium.

The Fed’s September dot plot suggested two rate cuts in 2026. In contrast, the market currently expects 63 basis points of easing in 2026, indicating a greater likelihood of betting on three rate cuts next year.
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