Something pretty surreal happened recently—a report from The Economist dropped, causing an uproar in the macroeconomic circles, while our crypto community barely reacted. The report dug up a century-old iron law called the "midterm election curse." It sounds mysterious, but it’s really just about how the US stock market’s performance follows the rhythm of the presidential term.

They turned nearly a hundred years of data upside down and found that the stock market shows clear cyclical fluctuations during presidential terms. To put it simply, political cycles and capital flows are fundamentally intertwined. Traditional finance has played this game for a century—so will the crypto market be able to escape this pattern? After all, institutional money has long since entered the space, and macro narratives are increasingly impossible to ignore when it comes to crypto prices.

The issue is, hardly anyone on our side is talking about this. Maybe everyone thinks it’s not that relevant to crypto? But if the market really does start moving in sync with these cycles, it’ll be too late to talk about it then.