#数字货币市场洞察 Bitcoin is currently at a critical turning point, but whether this rally can hold steady depends mainly on volume confirmation.

Let’s talk about the current market: on the hourly chart, the Bollinger Bands have tightened, and the OBV indicator is moving sideways, showing the whole market is in a state of low-volume equilibrium. The only bullish signal is a MACD golden cross below the zero line, but that’s just a short-term phenomenon.

Personally, I think $BTC will first test the $89,900 upper band. But can it hold above that? Honestly, that’s questionable. After all, liquidity is already poor on Saturdays, making it easy for fake breakouts with no real volume to occur and trap traders.

Here are some suggestions for trading:

The safest approach is to stay on the sidelines and let the market show its hand. If you really want to go long, you must wait for a strong breakout above the upper band with significant volume, and OBV must also turn upward—both conditions are essential. On the flip side, if you see a low-volume push up that quickly falls back, or a clear breakdown below the $88,930 lower band on volume, then the balance is completely broken and you should consider the opposite trade.

Bottom line, don’t rush in right now. Wait for a confirmation candle with volume—everything else is just market noise.