US Economic Warning Signal Reappears: Key Ratio Falls to Lowest Level Since 2008

2025-12-06 09:27:17

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[BlockBeats] Another warning signal for the US economy has flashed.

Latest data shows that the ratio of Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) to Coincident Economic Indicators (CEI) has dropped to 0.85—the lowest point since the 2008 financial crisis. Even more concerning is that this ratio has been declining for four consecutive years.

To briefly explain these two indicators: LEI looks to the future, tracking forward-looking data such as consumer expectations, new manufacturing orders, average hours worked, and initial jobless claims; CEI focuses on the present, monitoring real-time economic performance such as nonfarm employment.

Looking back at historical records, a pattern emerges—whenever this ratio experiences such a steep decline, the US economy has almost always already entered a recession. The current figure of 0.85 is, in a sense, a recession alarm.

For the crypto market, shrinking risk appetite in traditional finance often spills over into the digital asset sector. Signals of tightening macro liquidity are worth every trader’s attention.

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HalfPositionRunner

· 12-06 16:18

I really can't handle the number 0.85 anymore, it's been dropping for 4 years straight, man. Constantly being bearish on US stocks is getting exhausting, but can the crypto space really avoid the fallout? Is it really going to drop this time, or is it another false alarm? Feels like we need to get in early to hedge risks, the Fed is still messing things up. Are we going to get dragged down again? Are we just transmission tools at this point?

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SilentAlpha

· 12-06 09:57

0.85? Damn, I really can’t take this number anymore. Is the nightmare of 2008 about to repeat? It’s been dropping for 4 years and no one cared, now they’re panicking? What a joke. Here we go again: economic recession, crypto crash, on endless repeat. The US economy can’t even draft blueprints anymore, and we’re still getting on board? Whenever traditional finance sneezes, the crypto world catches a cold. Isn’t it annoying? LEI drops but CEI doesn’t. To put it bluntly, they’re just tricking you into thinking the future will be better, when it’s already rotten now. Just wait and see, another round of cleansing is coming.

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memecoin_therapy

· 12-06 09:56

0.85 is really a scary number, is this a repeat of 2008? It's been dropping for 4 years and people still dare to say there's no problem? If a recession really comes, the crypto space will have to run first. If the great US economy collapses, we won't be able to escape either. Will this time be even worse than last time? The LEI is already hinting at something going wrong, but the market keeps going up? Something's off. Feels like it's time to start hoarding stablecoins.

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WalletDetective

· 12-06 09:55

The number 0.85 is really a bit scary. Four consecutive years of decline, directly back to 2008 levels— is it really coming this time? If the US stock market really crashes this time, our crypto space might just have to lie flat again. Historically proven patterns now seem quite likely to play out. Could it really be the “boy who cried wolf” moment this time?

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blocksnark

· 12-06 09:53

The number 0.85 is getting hard to hold onto. History has always told us this, and we still don't listen? --- Is this another repeat of 2008? Truly the curse of cycles. --- Only realizing after 4 years of consecutive drops? I felt it long ago, and so did my wallet. --- As soon as risk appetite contracts, it's immediately crypto's turn to get cut—this logic is all too familiar. --- So should I get in now or wait for the bottom? I really don't get it. --- LEI and CEI are so out of sync, it shows the market is already very distorted. --- Oh god, another round is coming. My short positions are still open. --- If the US economy is putting on a show, our coin prices have to go along with it—makes sense. --- 0.85 is truly desperate. I now believe history really does repeat itself. --- The recession alarm bells are ringing—are there still people bottom fishing, brothers?

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LightningLady

· 12-06 09:49

The number 0.85 really can't hold up anymore. What does it mean to have dropped for 4 consecutive years? Wait, doesn't this mean the crypto market is about to follow with a downpour? The historical pattern is right there—what else can we do?

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