Just as the whole world is watching the Fed for rate cuts, an unexpected piece of news comes from the north—the market is now starting to bet that not only will the Bank of Canada not cut rates, but it might even reverse course and hike rates before October 2026.
This wasn’t the script, was it? Weren’t we just discussing how much rates would be cut next year?
The turning point was the employment data. The numbers for November were explosive: the unemployment rate dropped sharply, and job creation far exceeded expectations. With the economy running this hot, inflationary pressures immediately followed. To keep prices stable, the central bank has to consider pulling out the rate hike card again.
The bond market has already reacted—government bonds were dumped like crazy, and yields shot up. Classic "tightening expectations" trading. Investors are voting with their feet, telling you they believe policy is about to shift.
What’s interesting about this? It shatters an illusion: not all central banks will follow the Fed step by step. If your own economy is strong enough (booming employment is the best evidence), you can choose your own independent path and tighten when necessary.
🧊 This pours cold water on the global optimism about “easy money.”
If Canada really takes the lead here, what does it mean for the crypto market? Will expectations for liquidity be dampened? Or is this just an isolated case that won’t change the mainstream direction of continued easing by other central banks?
Honestly, when everyone is betting that "there will be more and more money," it’s worth thinking about when one suddenly goes in the opposite direction. What do you think? 👇
View Original
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
14 Likes
Reward
14
6
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
FrogInTheWell
· 22h ago
Canada is basically giving us a lesson here—the Fed hasn’t even made a move yet, and they’ve already reacted. The crypto world should be getting nervous.
View OriginalReply0
GweiObserver
· 22h ago
I really didn't expect this sudden reversal from the Canadian dollar. Before, they were so adamant about following the trend and cutting interest rates, but as soon as the employment data came out, they went the opposite direction. I was stunned by the bond market crash. Now it looks like the liquidity narrative might have to be rewritten.
View OriginalReply0
TokenomicsTinfoilHat
· 22h ago
What is Canada doing, considering raising interest rates again? Now the liquidity story will have to be retold.
View OriginalReply0
Ser_This_Is_A_Casino
· 22h ago
Damn, is Canada about to hike interest rates instead? No one saw this coming, everyone’s just watching the Fed.
View OriginalReply0
DeFiDoctor
· 22h ago
The surge in yields is an interesting signal; we need to look at liquidity indicators in the bond market, not just the surface numbers. If Canada's latest move really takes effect, the impact on stablecoin collateral will need to be thoroughly reviewed.
View OriginalReply0
TheShibaWhisperer
· 22h ago
Now this is getting interesting. If Canada really raises interest rates, our liquidity feast will be dampened.
The Bank of Canada suddenly changed its tune! 🔥
Just as the whole world is watching the Fed for rate cuts, an unexpected piece of news comes from the north—the market is now starting to bet that not only will the Bank of Canada not cut rates, but it might even reverse course and hike rates before October 2026.
This wasn’t the script, was it? Weren’t we just discussing how much rates would be cut next year?
The turning point was the employment data. The numbers for November were explosive: the unemployment rate dropped sharply, and job creation far exceeded expectations. With the economy running this hot, inflationary pressures immediately followed. To keep prices stable, the central bank has to consider pulling out the rate hike card again.
The bond market has already reacted—government bonds were dumped like crazy, and yields shot up. Classic "tightening expectations" trading. Investors are voting with their feet, telling you they believe policy is about to shift.
What’s interesting about this? It shatters an illusion: not all central banks will follow the Fed step by step. If your own economy is strong enough (booming employment is the best evidence), you can choose your own independent path and tighten when necessary.
🧊 This pours cold water on the global optimism about “easy money.”
If Canada really takes the lead here, what does it mean for the crypto market? Will expectations for liquidity be dampened? Or is this just an isolated case that won’t change the mainstream direction of continued easing by other central banks?
Honestly, when everyone is betting that "there will be more and more money," it’s worth thinking about when one suddenly goes in the opposite direction. What do you think? 👇