Big news tonight! Major US economic data is coming—how will the crypto market react?

Mark the time—11:00 PM on December 5, 2025. The US is about to release a series of heavyweight economic indicators, with the Core PCE Price Index being the one to watch most closely. This is no ordinary figure; it’s the Fed’s key inflation gauge. Any fluctuation in the data, and there’s an 80% chance the crypto market will swing along with it.

Here’s the logic: If the Core PCE comes in higher than expected, the Fed will likely continue tightening monetary policy. The result? A stronger dollar, capital flowing out of risk assets, and crypto prices coming under pressure. But if the data is mild or even below expectations? The crypto market could see a rebound, and a short-term rally isn’t out of the question.

So tonight’s data is definitely more than just something to watch for fun.

How should we respond? A few suggestions:

Before the data is released, the most important thing is to keep your hands off your positions. Don’t make random moves, and keep your leverage under control—sudden volatility won’t give you advance notice. After the release, don’t rush to conclusions. Watch how the market actually reacts and make decisions based on a full picture.

One detail to note: If the data is bearish but prices rise against the trend, don’t rush in. That’s likely just emotional trading and you could get trapped. If the data is bullish and prices follow suit, you can participate moderately, but remember to take profits early—don’t gamble until the very end.

My personal view? The previous figure and market expectations aren’t too far apart this time, so the data may have already been priced in and volatility might not be as dramatic as imagined. But in crypto, sudden events are always a risk—keeping a steady mindset is more important than anything.

Looking at the bigger picture, the fundamentals and vitality of the crypto market are still there. Short-term data is just a blip on the radar. Let’s observe rationally tonight and aim for steady progress!