Looking at the market, it’s clear that the “pre-FOMC rally” narrative has started to take shape as we approach December 10.

The next important milestone is the 4th:
• If BTC rises right on the 4th → there’s a high chance it will reverse and drop on lower timeframes.
• If BTC drops on the 4th → there’s a strong chance it will bounce back afterwards.

Additionally, in the last two FOMC meetings, every time the Fed cut interest rates, BTC dropped 5–8% just a few days after the event.
If the market repeats this pattern, then the most reasonable scenario is:
rally before FOMC → drop after FOMC.

If BTC dumps hard right before FOMC, then the entire timing cycle will change.
I’ll keep updating—just follow along to understand the story.