#十二月降息预测 · The internal divide at the Fed is severe: not all officials agree on a rate cut in December. For example, Dallas Fed President Logan and Cleveland Fed President Harmack have expressed hesitation or outright opposition. They are more concerned about inflation rebound and advocate for maintaining restrictive interest rates for a longer period.

· Decision-making in a "data vacuum": Due to the previous record-length shutdown of the U.S. government, the release of key economic data (such as the latest employment and inflation reports) has been interrupted. This means that the Fed will make decisions at the December meeting with incomplete information, increasing uncertainty.