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#美国结束政府停摆
3 Major Signals Exposed: The U.S. Government Suddenly "Revived," Is the Global Market About to Get Excited?
The U.S. has finally ended the government shutdown! Three major market signals popped up instantly, making people wonder: Is the market about to change its face? If you think this is just political news, you might already be a step behind.
First, the end of the shutdown means the federal budget will restart, government departments will resume operations, and fiscal spending (especially in infrastructure, research, and military industry) may enter a phase of "revenge release." Once the previously suppressed budget is released in a concentrated manner, market sentiment often sees a short-term recovery.
Second, the U.S. Dollar Index may re-enter a volatile upward structure. The U.S. government returning to normal operations = reduced default risk = the dollar gains a short-term safe-haven premium. Is this bullish or bearish for U.S. stocks and the crypto market? The interesting part is here: the flow of funds will become complicated, rather than one-sided.
Third, the "political uncertainty premium" in the US stock market has decreased. Historical data tells us that after a government shutdown ends, the US stock market averages a rise of 1.2% in the following month. However, keep in mind that this year is an election year, with high interest rates and record levels of debt; will this round be an exception? The suspense is even greater.
There are three key observation points in the market ahead:
① Whether U.S. Treasury yields will decline
② Whether the dollar will show a trend reversal
③ Whether the Nasdaq will experience a breakout rebound
The end of the standstill is by no means a "positive outcome landing"; rather, it is the first dividing line between bulls and bears in the new era.
Do you think: the end of this suspension will trigger a market surge, or is it actually a high point trap? Comment and share your judgment, repost and save, let's track the subsequent trends together!