According to the latest forecast market data from Polymarket, there is still uncertainty about when the U.S. government will reopen. Currently, the market believes there is approximately a 33% chance that the government will resume operations between November 8 and 11. Meanwhile, about 32% of investors think it will continue beyond November 16. Overall, the market generally expects the government shutdown to extend until around mid-November. These probabilities reflect market participants' judgments and are not official information; they may fluctuate at any time as political negotiations progress.