Macroeconomic Situation and ETH Trading Strategies

1. Macroeconomic Dynamics

1. Federal Reserve: The Federal Reserve's interest rate decision met expectations, and the negative impact is gradually weakening, with U.S. stocks collectively rising. Key points from Powell's speech are as follows:

- Tariffs may lead to a slowdown in economic growth, raising long-term inflation and unemployment rates.

- The increase or decrease of tariffs determines the timeline for the Federal Reserve to control inflation targets.

- The Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to adjust interest rates, with moderate policy restrictions, and a rate cut requires more data support due to negative impacts from tariffs.

- Emphasize the independence of the Federal Reserve, unaffected by Trump's comments on interest rate cuts.

2. Ethereum: The Ethereum mainnet has activated the Pectra upgrade, aimed at simplifying wallet operations, optimizing the validator mechanism, enhancing L2 scalability, and improving security. Specifically, it simplifies wallets through account abstraction, reducing transaction complexity; optimizes the validator mechanism to improve staking flexibility and lessen network burden; increases blob capacity to lower L2 transaction costs; and introduces new cryptographic tools and communication frameworks.

3. Trump Update: Trump announced that he will reveal major news tonight at 10 PM, and the market speculates that the subject may be China. If true, the tariff war may shift from tension to easing, becoming a potential positive speculation point.

2. ETH Trading Strategy

It is recommended to gradually go long in the range of 1880 - 1850, with an average price of 1865, setting a stop loss at 1820 and profit targets at 1930 - 1980 - 2050, taking into account both short-term and swing trading. The current price is relatively high, posing risks of chasing highs and missing out; given the strong trend, it is suitable to adopt a phased approach and a trading model that synchronizes short-term and swing trades.