14:40
Last night's market performed as expected, but there was significant volatility after the US session. ETH made another attempt at 3220. Fortunately, the outcome was good, and the rebound happened as anticipated. Whether it will break through 3250 remains to be seen.
My personal view on the current market is shown in the chart below: After the rebound, there's resistance at 3200, with the highest point near 3192, followed by a drop and a one-hour pullback. The current minor support is at 3110, with the second support around 3050, similar to yesterday. The difference is that yesterday was a four-hour pullback, while now we might see a four-hour wide-range consolidation.
In terms of strategy, selling high today may work better. You can short at the current price of 3155-65, with a small stop loss at 85, a reasonable stop loss at 3200, and target 3105-3060. I personally suggest taking profit a few points above the support level. The main goal is to exit the position; aiming for perfection can sometimes cause you to miss out and affect your mindset.
BTC is also in a wide-range consolidation between 93200-90800. A reasonable short position should have a stop loss above 93200, and take profit above 90800.
These are just my personal opinions for reference only.
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14:20
The current market is consistent with the direction of the past two days. The major range of 3150-3250 has been reached. BTC is still 2,000 points away from 96,000, but in terms of direction, there haven't been any mistakes. Although I didn't hold onto my position, it doesn't affect my market judgment or trading strategy.
Looking ahead, as shown in the chart below: after reaching strong resistance around 3250 and getting pushed down, with the volume also weakening, a pullback is likely next. It's time to consider short positions. The support level to watch is around 3050-40, which is also the starting point of this move. If you don't have a position, you can consider shorting at 3210-20, with a stop loss at 3242. The stop loss isn't big. For take profit, consider taking profit in batches around 3140-3050. First support level—reduce positions near breakeven. Risk-reward ratio is about 1:4.
Observe further after that. If 3050 doesn't break and the price surges again, it may break through 3250 to above 3360—take it step by step. Don't expect perfect entry and exit points; it's easy to miss out and see profits retrace. That's something I've felt in the past two days.
BTC short positions around 94,200-90,800, with about 3,000 points profit. BTC can be watched around the current level of 93,800. If it doesn't break through 94,200, you can enter a short position. Stop loss is about 500 points, take profit 3,000 points. Risk-reward ratio is above 1:5.
As shown in the chart below, there are currently three possible trends: the first is the colored arrow, the second is blue, the third is green. Personally, I lean toward the second, which also aligns with the short strategy.
Personal views for reference only.

14:20
The current market is consistent with the direction of the past two days. The major range of 3150-3250 has been reached. BTC is still 2,000 points away from 96,000, but in terms of direction, there haven't been any mistakes. Although I didn't hold onto my position, it doesn't affect my market judgment or trading strategy.
Looking ahead, as shown in the chart below: after reaching strong resistance around 3250 and getting pushed down, with the volume also weakening, a pullback is likely next. It's time to consider short positions. The support level to watch is around 3050-40, which is also the starting point of this move. If you don't have a position, you can consider shorting at 3210-20, with a stop loss at 3242. The stop loss isn't big. For take profit, consider taking profit in batches around 3140-3050. First support level—reduce positions near breakeven. Risk-reward ratio is about 1:4.
Observe further after that. If 3050 doesn't break and the price surges again, it may break through 3250 to above 3360—take it step by step. Don't expect perfect entry and exit points; it's easy to miss out and see profits retrace. That's something I've felt in the past two days.
BTC short positions around 94,200-90,800, with about 3,000 points profit. BTC can be watched around the current level of 93,800. If it doesn't break through 94,200, you can enter a short position. Stop loss is about 500 points, take profit 3,000 points. Risk-reward ratio is above 1:5.
As shown in the chart below, there are currently three possible trends: the first is the colored arrow, the second is blue, the third is green. Personally, I lean toward the second, which also aligns with the short strategy.
Personal views for reference only.

12:45
The current market has reached a point of consolidation. Personally, I confirm that it has temporarily stopped falling and is looking for a rebound. There is currently a divergence structure appearing in the one-hour chart. At present, the range is consolidating and fluctuating between 2780 and 2820. If 2780 is not effectively broken today, there will be an oversold rebound, possibly around 2860-2905. Bitcoin is at the 89500-90000 level.
The stop loss for Ethereum can be set below 2780, and for Bitcoin at 85800. You can act at the current price!
Personal opinion, for reference only.

13:00
The current market has validated the long position strategy shared with everyone over the weekend, yesterday, and the day before. There is a need for a rebound from the four-hour to daily charts. Bitcoin is just 200 points shy of the target level of around 92000 given to everyone, while Ethereum has exceeded expectations at 3040 and is currently fluctuating around this position.
The current market position is quite awkward for short positions. The lower long positions can still be held after reducing positions. Personally, I have already exited my positions, but I have not taken a short position. Currently, there is no short formation or structure. The four-hour chart has only temporarily rebounded to a level, and is now undergoing a corrective consolidation, but the daily chart has not yet done so.
The market is as follows: the pressure that can currently be inferred is between 3150-55, which is also the target for the next long position, corresponding to the 50% Fibonacci sequence, which is reasonable. The strongest pressure is at 3250-70. One must take it one step at a time; at least for now, there is no short position pattern, except for very short-term trades.
The support below is at 2980-85, which is also the support of the trend line. If it breaks down, there won't be space for short positions, so I personally tend to think that after a consolidation in the four-hour timeframe, it will continue to rise, following the daily rebound. Whether it moves like this needs to be observed to see if 2980 can effectively break. The reasonable defense for long positions is also below 2980, which requires waiting. If given the opportunity, I will attempt to enter long positions after a pullback around 2900-2980, with the stop loss set at the low of the activation point at that time. The target for long positions will be around 3040-70-3150, depending on the situation at that time.
The historical review of Bitcoin indicates that the pullbacks are generally weak compared to the trends, so they do not necessarily have to be deep. Currently, a reasonable stop-loss for long positions is below 89200, and entering long positions around 90600 is an option, but it's uncertain whether there will be an opportunity. Likewise, if a significant pullback occurs, breaking below 89200, one should be cautious about entering long positions. The target for Bitcoin long positions is around 91800-93640.
In the case where the daily line does not rebound to the right level, I will not short, nor will I trade in ultra-short lines. In the end, today the US market is closed, and there may not be significant movements. It's better to watch more and act less. If there is an opportunity, then take action; if not, just observe.
Personal opinion, for reference only.
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