$Q $SPY

Blow-off Tops?
Saying things like “a blow-off top is coming” is often not analysis, but storytelling.
Because a real blow-off top only becomes clear after it forms; it can’t be declared with certainty in advance.
The people making these kinds of claims have been waiting for a crisis and recession for 500 years. They’re trying to understand a financial crisis by looking at RSI 😊 What kind of science is that? And they’re not even ashamed…
One of the most dangerous things in the market is future telling.
Meaning, selling something that hasn’t happened yet as if it’s certain.
You don’t realize it’s a blow-off top at the peak; you understand it after the peak.
I believe that if a top formation develops, I can recognize it and get through it with a small loss. So what are they gonna do?
I’ve done this many times before. If we take the period you’ve known me as the basis, I believe I showed this during the 2021 peak and the 2025 tariff period.
Those who are calling it a blow-off top today may be saying buy the dip when the time comes.
There needs to be real work behind these claims. While the share of S&P 500 companies with positive 12-month forward revenue growth is 86.6%, and the share with positive forward earnings growth is 81.8%, what exactly is their reason for expecting this?
Do you even see the rally after the first blow off top on the chart? The market can even use this kind of narrative to its own advantage
The purpose of these kinds of accounts is nothing other than engagement.
Please don’t give credibility to these kinds of accounts.