Although Bitcoin has fallen 17% so far this year, historical data suggests it may rebound in the second quarter. A report from Coinglass shows that between 2013 and 2025, Bitcoin's average return in the second quarter was 27%, with previous gains reaching as high as 123% in 2017. A key potential catalyst is the U.S. Treasury Department's strategic Bitcoin reserve. If this reserve is activated and it purchases the planned 1 million Bitcoins, it could have a significant impact on the market. Some analysts speculate that this move may be politically motivated and could push Bitcoin's price close to $100,000 before the end of June.