The Ethereum trend on January 15th gives us a classic case study.

It was originally expected to stop around the 3300-3315 range, with no plans to continue chasing higher. But the problem is— the accumulation zone for the bulls is too dense, and we haven't seen a significant dip to clear out these floating positions. What does this mean? The main force is likely trying to push the price higher to lure more buyers, then form double shoulders or other top patterns, trapping retail investors before dropping the price.

Given this, we should follow the trend and go long first to earn a few dozen points, then turn around and go short. Even if the long positions are stopped out, this approach won't result in a loss. Why? Because the profit from the longs is enough to cover the losses from the shorts.

Here's an important premise: if a large bullish candle breaks through 3400 directly from around 3375, then we have to admit defeat, abandon the idea of going long at high levels, and manually take profit on the longs.

Honestly, Ethereum hasn't truly reversed yet. Most likely, this is just a bait to lure out sellers during a rebound. So, the longs here are actually just an auxiliary move to complement the shorts, helping us better perceive the market's volatility rhythm, rather than us expecting a reversal and continuously holding long positions.