The crypto world is brutal, but the truth is even more brutal.
Every year, tens of thousands of people rush into the market, dreaming of achieving financial freedom through trading. But the reality is that only one in a hundred can survive more than three years in this industry. Why do most people see their accounts wiped out within half a year and end up sheepishly going back to work?
The answer is very painful: they haven't even passed the basic three hurdles and have hastily quit.
**First hurdle: Establishing a stable profit model**
Many believe that full-time trading means watching candlestick charts every day, buying and selling. This idea is completely wrong. Those who truly work in this field, fundamentally, are no different from entrepreneurs. You need a trading system that has been tested by the market and can generate consistent profits.
What is a system? It means that whether you use trend following, swing trading, or value investing, this logic must be self-consistent. Every opening and closing of a position should have a clear reason, and over the long term, it should outperform the market benchmark.
I've asked many novice traders: "What is your trading system?" The basic answer is: "Buy when the trend looks good, sell when there are signals of decline," or "Follow a big influencer's operations." That’s not a system; that’s gambling. The difference between gambling and trading is that the former relies on probability betting, while the latter relies on a systematic approach.
A trading model capable of supporting full-time work must meet at least two points:
**Experience through a complete market cycle** — not just making money in this round of the market, but surviving the previous downturn as well. Everyone can make money in a bull market; even pigs can fly. The real skill is controlling losses during a bear market and maintaining the effectiveness of your system.
**Reproducible and backtestable** — your method must be written into specific rules, capable of being backtested against historical data, and allow others to replicate step-by-step. If it’s just "feelings" and "intuition," then it’s not a reliable system.
**Second hurdle: Capital management and psychological resilience**
No matter how good your trading system is, if you don’t understand capital allocation and risk control, you will eventually fail. Full-time trading involves daily volatility and account drawdowns, which create psychological pressure beyond what most people can imagine.
Many people have made money but collapse after a big loss, gambling everything and ending up back at square one overnight. This isn’t because the system is bad; it’s because their mindset exploded.
**Third hurdle: Continuous learning and strategy iteration**
Markets are changing, and trends are evolving. If your trading system remains unchanged for five years, you are destined to be eliminated by the market. Full-time traders must constantly optimize their methods, study new market structures, and stay competitive.
These three hurdles sound simple, but in reality, only a tiny fraction of people can truly achieve them.
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ForkItAllDay
· 6h ago
Honestly, ninety-nine percent of people can't get past the first hurdle.
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A mental breakdown happens faster than an account explosion; I've seen it too many times.
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Most people deceive themselves about the system; it doesn't really exist.
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If you can't survive a bear market, don't boast about having a system, especially if you're full-time.
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Feeling and intuition? That's just gamblers' self-delusion.
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Those who can truly persist in optimizing strategies have long achieved financial freedom and wouldn't be chatting here.
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The problem is most people are too lazy to even backtest, yet they want to trade full-time?
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The toughest hurdle is mental resilience; technical skills are actually the least important.
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A system that hasn't changed in five years deserves to be beaten by the market.
View OriginalReply0
DegenWhisperer
· 6h ago
Well said, but I've seen too many veterans, and the most confident ones end up dying the fastest.
View OriginalReply0
MiningDisasterSurvivor
· 6h ago
I've been through it all. The 2018 mining disaster left many people financially ruined. Those who still boast about full-time trading, nine out of ten disappear after half a year.
View OriginalReply0
CodeSmellHunter
· 6h ago
To be honest, there's nothing wrong with this article, but most people simply can't listen. Survive more than three years in a hundred? I think it's more like one in a thousand.
View OriginalReply0
ForkThisDAO
· 6h ago
Ultimately, it's all about mindset. Most people go all in without even understanding the first hurdle.
View OriginalReply0
CrossChainMessenger
· 6h ago
That's so damn true. I have too many examples around me. A month ago, they were bragging about earning 100,000 a month, and now they're back to manual labor.
The crypto world is brutal, but the truth is even more brutal.
Every year, tens of thousands of people rush into the market, dreaming of achieving financial freedom through trading. But the reality is that only one in a hundred can survive more than three years in this industry. Why do most people see their accounts wiped out within half a year and end up sheepishly going back to work?
The answer is very painful: they haven't even passed the basic three hurdles and have hastily quit.
**First hurdle: Establishing a stable profit model**
Many believe that full-time trading means watching candlestick charts every day, buying and selling. This idea is completely wrong. Those who truly work in this field, fundamentally, are no different from entrepreneurs. You need a trading system that has been tested by the market and can generate consistent profits.
What is a system? It means that whether you use trend following, swing trading, or value investing, this logic must be self-consistent. Every opening and closing of a position should have a clear reason, and over the long term, it should outperform the market benchmark.
I've asked many novice traders: "What is your trading system?" The basic answer is: "Buy when the trend looks good, sell when there are signals of decline," or "Follow a big influencer's operations." That’s not a system; that’s gambling. The difference between gambling and trading is that the former relies on probability betting, while the latter relies on a systematic approach.
A trading model capable of supporting full-time work must meet at least two points:
**Experience through a complete market cycle** — not just making money in this round of the market, but surviving the previous downturn as well. Everyone can make money in a bull market; even pigs can fly. The real skill is controlling losses during a bear market and maintaining the effectiveness of your system.
**Reproducible and backtestable** — your method must be written into specific rules, capable of being backtested against historical data, and allow others to replicate step-by-step. If it’s just "feelings" and "intuition," then it’s not a reliable system.
**Second hurdle: Capital management and psychological resilience**
No matter how good your trading system is, if you don’t understand capital allocation and risk control, you will eventually fail. Full-time trading involves daily volatility and account drawdowns, which create psychological pressure beyond what most people can imagine.
Many people have made money but collapse after a big loss, gambling everything and ending up back at square one overnight. This isn’t because the system is bad; it’s because their mindset exploded.
**Third hurdle: Continuous learning and strategy iteration**
Markets are changing, and trends are evolving. If your trading system remains unchanged for five years, you are destined to be eliminated by the market. Full-time traders must constantly optimize their methods, study new market structures, and stay competitive.
These three hurdles sound simple, but in reality, only a tiny fraction of people can truly achieve them.