A trader just dumped $106k into a prediction market with only $138 upside. Crazy move? Not really.
Here's the play: when odds get so skewed that an outcome trades at 99%+ implied probability, the payout shrinks but the risk collapses. That's the sweet spot for yield farming via prediction markets.
Instead of chasing hype, position sizing in hyper-certain scenarios clips consistent yields. The math is brutal—tiny percentage gains on massive capital—but in DeFi yield farming terms, it's just farming certainty.
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SleepyValidator
· 7h ago
Wait a minute... 106k can only earn 138? Isn't that just like doing bonds haha
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MEVHunterZhang
· 7h ago
This is like betting on the horse with the lowest odds in the casino, nothing new.
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BrokeBeans
· 7h ago
Haha, this is the gameplay of a conservative rookie. Trading 106k for $138, feels like playing a big game of chess.
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NoodlesOrTokens
· 8h ago
Really, risking 100,000 to earn 138 yuan—what kind of mental resilience does that require?
A trader just dumped $106k into a prediction market with only $138 upside. Crazy move? Not really.
Here's the play: when odds get so skewed that an outcome trades at 99%+ implied probability, the payout shrinks but the risk collapses. That's the sweet spot for yield farming via prediction markets.
Instead of chasing hype, position sizing in hyper-certain scenarios clips consistent yields. The math is brutal—tiny percentage gains on massive capital—but in DeFi yield farming terms, it's just farming certainty.