#数字货币市场洞察 Some friends have been asking recently if $TRUMP still has a chance for a comeback.
To be honest, at this point in time, the short-term outlook is indeed a bit awkward. The major tokens are still in the lock-up period, a large amount of tokens are waiting to be unlocked in the future, and if we enter a bear market next year, the pressure will be even greater. It's hard to expect any significant improvement in the next six months to a year.
But what if we extend the timeframe to the next bull market cycle? In the 2027 or 2028 period, the situation could look completely different. The premise is that Trump manages to get through the midterm elections smoothly and remains president—if that's the case, $TRUMP could very well become the most dazzling Meme coin in the next market cycle.
Why do I say this? There are a few reasons:
First, the bear market sell-off is ruthless. The price could very likely drop to around $1, which is another 80% drop from the current level. It seems hopeless, but the more thorough the washout, the greater the upside potential afterward.
Second, the unlocks haven't been completed yet, so the main holders have no reason to pump the price. In two or three years, when the tokens are fully circulating and the chips have been sufficiently exchanged, only then is there a real chance to kickstart the project.
Third, extremely low prices + full circulation + presidential identity—when you add these factors together and hit the big bull run in 2027-2028, just imagine the possibilities.
Of course, all of this is for the future. For now, it's wiser to stay on the sidelines. $BTC $BNB
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FromMinerToFarmer
· 12-12 04:33
Wait a minute, are you saying TRUMP still needs to drop another 80% to have a chance? I can't quite understand this logic.
2027 is still quite far off, and there are too many variables in between. Who can guarantee anything?
Short-term definitely looks bleak, but I think the more critical thing is to keep an eye on the unlocking cycle. When a large amount of chips start flowing out, that's likely to be the real test.
Don't just think about a bull market; we're still in the defensive phase now.
The $1 floor sounds tempting, but I guess there aren't many willing to buy the dip.
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GasFeeCrying
· 12-12 04:09
Wait, do I have to wait that long until 2028? My wallet can't wait that long.
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SatoshiLeftOnRead
· 12-09 07:59
Wait, that logic is a bit far-fetched... You have to bet on still being in that position in 2027? Feels like it would be more reassuring to just go all in on BTC.
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GasFeeCrybaby
· 12-09 07:55
Wait two or three years? Damn, I want to buy the dip right now. This logic sounds like it applies to almost every coin...
View OriginalReply0
hodl_therapist
· 12-09 07:36
An 80% shakeout in a bear market sounds scary, but from another perspective, isn't that basically a ticket to get in? The question is, who actually dares to bottom fish at that point in time?
#数字货币市场洞察 Some friends have been asking recently if $TRUMP still has a chance for a comeback.
To be honest, at this point in time, the short-term outlook is indeed a bit awkward. The major tokens are still in the lock-up period, a large amount of tokens are waiting to be unlocked in the future, and if we enter a bear market next year, the pressure will be even greater. It's hard to expect any significant improvement in the next six months to a year.
But what if we extend the timeframe to the next bull market cycle? In the 2027 or 2028 period, the situation could look completely different. The premise is that Trump manages to get through the midterm elections smoothly and remains president—if that's the case, $TRUMP could very well become the most dazzling Meme coin in the next market cycle.
Why do I say this? There are a few reasons:
First, the bear market sell-off is ruthless. The price could very likely drop to around $1, which is another 80% drop from the current level. It seems hopeless, but the more thorough the washout, the greater the upside potential afterward.
Second, the unlocks haven't been completed yet, so the main holders have no reason to pump the price. In two or three years, when the tokens are fully circulating and the chips have been sufficiently exchanged, only then is there a real chance to kickstart the project.
Third, extremely low prices + full circulation + presidential identity—when you add these factors together and hit the big bull run in 2027-2028, just imagine the possibilities.
Of course, all of this is for the future. For now, it's wiser to stay on the sidelines. $BTC $BNB