挪威意外下调基准利率,今年或进一步降息

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Gate News bot 消息,据彭博社报道,挪威央行意外宣布疫情后首次下调借贷成本,并表示今年可能进一步降息。挪威克朗应声下跌。

挪威央行周四将其关键存款利率下调了四分之一个百分点至4.25%,令接受彭博社调查的所有经济学家措手不及,他们中无人预期利率会有所变化。官员们表示,如果经济发展大致符合目前的预测,政策利率将在2025年进一步下调。

“自3月份货币政策会议以来,通胀率有所下降,未来一年的通胀前景表明通胀率低于此前预期,”挪威央行行长艾达·沃尔登·巴赫表示,“谨慎地将政策利率正常化将为通胀率回归目标水平铺平道路,而不会对经济施加过度限制。”

挪威克朗兑欧元汇率一度下跌1.3%,至11.5994,创下自5月30日以来的最低水平。

此前,挪威央行曾多次推迟其他发达国家货币当局的降息启动时间,此次决定使其与其他发达国家的货币当局更加一致。

挪威官员的强硬立场此前受到能源出口国挪威经济强劲和挪威克朗疲软的支撑。通胀的暂时飙升推迟了3月份的降息计划,而国内需求前景的改善似乎降低了秋季前任何宽松政策的紧迫性。

挪威央行政策制定者表示,周四报告中预测的利率将在2025年底降至略低于4%,并在2028年底降至3%左右。

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